The future is the projection of the present son of the past. Any event of human life, even the most unthinkable one, is originated by a cause/concomitant cause; nothing happens by chance, but any action is a continuation of a sequence of events.
Ukraine’s invasion was predictable since Russia annexed Crimea, although it was an objective based on an outdated vision and therefore not winning. Hamas attack on Israel was likely. As admitted by Israeli prominent figures, the intelligence reports have been neglected; but it can’t be excluded that the signals have been ignored by purpose to have a reason to invade the territories and destroy Hamas’ extremists. Sometimes reality prevails over imagination.
Is World War III foreseeable? Yes and no. Yes, if the projection of the future refers to the past, especially the Thirties years of the last century. No, if the paradigm changes in terms of the expected objectives, which are no longer the annexation of territories, but the conquest of markets. In the past, territories were conquered to expand the markets, nowadays markets are conquered to govern territories.
The conventional wars are already a reality because of the many conflicts going on in the Planet. Much more important are the trade wars, which are fought in every region of the world, particularly in Africa. How will the Continent react to facing economic crisis, poverty, and inequality?
It can be observed that despite the progress achieved to bridge the poverty gap the problem remains and, what’s more, it got worse. Currently, poor people aren’t only those living with US$ 2/d (UN definition) but also those who haven’t access to finance for a better living or start-up & growth-up business.
In this perception, the narrative of the facts is crucial. We do say that what has been narrated doesn’t entirely reflect reality, having been written by the same Actors who caused the failures.
For more: PROJECTING THE FUTURE: A NEW MODEL TO REDUCE POVERTY IN AFRICA
https://www.wgi.world/projecting-the-future-a-new-model-to-reduce-poverty-in-africa/
Ascanio Graziosi 